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Retail Economics provide regular insights on UK retailing. Browse our extensive archive for insights on topics such as: Brexit, online retail developments, ONS Consumer Price Index, the outlook for UK retail, consumer sentiments and much more…

24 January 2016

Christmas sales flop with bricks and mortar in sharpest decline since May 2009

Retail sales fell by 0.5 per cent year-on-year (non-seasonally adjusted) in December according to the Retail Economics Sales Index. The three month rolling average, which provides a more accurate underlying trend, fell to +0.4 per cent, the lowest since July 2009.

Retail Economics Sales Index: Total retai... read more

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20 January 2016
Inflation rises above 0.1 per cent for the first time in 12 months

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was positive for a second month in December with prices rising 0.2 per cent, year-on-year – in line with consensus expectations. This is the first month since January 2015 for which the rate has exceeded 0.1 per cent.

Movements in transport costs, particularly air fares and to... read more

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02 January 2016
Outlook for the UK retail sector in 2016

NEW: OUTLOOK FOR UK RETAIL 2018. Our Outlook for UK Retail 2018 report is now available to download.

Retail is an inherently dynamic sector. The last 12 months has seen the UK retail landscape... read more

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20 December 2015
Black Friday fails to impress as Christmas performance hangs in the balance

Retail sales rose by 1.3 per cent year-on-year (non-seasonally adjusted) in November according to the Retail Economics Sales Index. The three month rolling average, which smooths seasonal distortions, rose to 1.6 per cent from 1.4 per cent in the previous period.

Retail Economics Sales Index: Total retail... read more

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17 December 2015
Inflation returns in November, the first reading above zero since July

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) returned to inflationary territory in November with prices rising 0.1 per cent, year-on-year – the first reading above zero since July. Movements in transport costs and alcohol and tobacco prices were the main contributors to the rise in the rate. Even through petrol prices are falling n... read more

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23 November 2015
Black Friday anticipation holds back October sales

Retail sales disappointed in October as the anticipation of Black Friday meant consumers delayed spending in the expectation of deep and widespread discounts.

Retail sales rose by 0.7 per cent year-on-year (non-seasonally adjusted) in October according to the Retail Economics Sales Index. The three month rol... read more

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18 November 2015
Continued deflation boosts household spending power in October

October’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained in deflationary territory with prices falling 0.1 per cent on the year, unchanged from September. This is the joint-lowest rate since the 1960s.

Inflation has now hovered around zero since the beginning of 2015. This is likely to be the last we see of deflation for... read more

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23 October 2015
Retail sales boost in September bodes well for a bumper Christmas 2015

Retail sales rose by a stellar 3.2 per cent year-on-year (non-seasonally adjusted) in September according to the Retail Economics Sales Index. The three month rolling average, which smooths seasonal distortions, rose to 1.8 per cent from 1.3 per cent in the previous period. It suggests that pent-up demand from improv... read more

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14 October 2015
Deflation returns to the UK in September

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell back into deflationary territory in September with prices falling 0.1 per cent on the year. This means inflation has hovered around zero since the beginning of 2015. We expect that it may stay around current levels until the end of the year when the previous falls in energy prices dr... read more

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20 September 2015
Retail Sales in August weaken but outlook for fourth quarter still positive

Retail sales rose by 0.6 per cent year-on-year (non-seasonally adjusted) in August according to the Retail Economics Sales Index. The three month rolling average, which smooths seasonal distortions, showed continued weakness of retail sales growth. Nevertheless, we remain upbeat about the outlook for the industry and... read more

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16 September 2015
Deflation soon to return as inflation continues to hover around zero

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was zero in August, continuing to hover around zero for seven months. This continued period of virtually no inflation continues to support households giving a boost to spending power. This result was in-line with consensus views. We believe it likely that general price level will return t... read more

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23 August 2015
Retail sales in July held steady by strong performance of Furniture, Homewares and Footwear

Retail sales values (non-seasonally adjusted values and excluding fuel) rose by 1.9 per cent in July, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). In volume terms, growth continued for the 28th consecutive month and rose by 4.2 per cent year-on-year. The three month on three month metric, which gives a better... read more

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13 August 2015
Ten trends that are changing the landscape of the UK retail sector

Retail has gone through enormous structural change over the last few years with digital, ecommerce and technology at the heart of transforming the retail landscape in the UK.

The growth and adoption of digital and mobile technologies has caused a fundamental shift in the way consumers shop and interact with... read more

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03 August 2015
Strong momentum in UK economy raises prospect of interest rate rise

The first estimate of GDP for Q2 2015 confirmed that momentum is building up in the UK economy. The 0.7 per cent rise, compared with the previous quarter, was aligned with expectations and showed a significant improvement from 0.4 per cent growth in Q1.

However, the recovery remains unbalanced with the servi... read more

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27 July 2015
Retail sales remain robust: Home and Fashion best performing categories

Retail sales values (non-seasonally adjusted values and excluding fuel) rose by 1.8 per cent in June, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). In volume terms, growth continued for the 27th consecutive month and rose by 4.0 per cent year-on-year.

The three month on three month metric, which giv... read more

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Retail Insights news and updates

Christmas sales flop with bricks and mortar in sharpest decline since May 2009

Inflation rises above 0.1 per cent for the first time in 12 months

Outlook for the UK retail sector in 2016

Black Friday fails to impress as Christmas performance hangs in the balance

Inflation returns in November, the first reading above zero since July

Black Friday anticipation holds back October sales

Continued deflation boosts household spending power in October

Retail sales boost in September bodes well for a bumper Christmas 2015

Deflation returns to the UK in September

Retail Sales in August weaken but outlook for fourth quarter still positive

Deflation soon to return as inflation continues to hover around zero

Retail sales in July held steady by strong performance of Furniture, Homewares and Footwear

Ten trends that are changing the landscape of the UK retail sector

Strong momentum in UK economy raises prospect of interest rate rise

Retail sales remain robust: Home and Fashion best performing categories

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